New York at Jacksonville

The Jacksonville Jaguars came very close to getting to the Super Bowl last season, and are hopeful of getting another opportunity this year. Much maligned QB Blake Bortles has pedestrian numbers over his career, including last year, and the numbers this year look the same. The Jaguars just want him to manage the game and let the defense take care of things. The problem is just one of their last eight games has resulted in a win of greater than seven points, so while the Jags have been winning, the margin is not as wide as an elite team, and I think the back door is open here for the Jets. If Sam Darnold can have a game without too many errors and make a few big plays the front door might be open too. The Jets have been strong on defense, allowing under 20 points per game, so they certainly have a good shot to stay within reach here. Take the points on New York.