This pick was released to clients on July 10, 2012 at 5:15PM ET.
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New Orleans at Las Vegas

October 24, 2004
img4:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Oakland is in deep doodoo. Kerry Collins has been horrific as Rich Gannon's replacement. I feel bad for the Raiders as they actually looked good before Gannon went down. But Collins has amassed a QB rating of 55.8 by throwing two touchdowns to eight interceptions. Their not much light at the end of this tunnel for the Raiders as Gannon's career is probably over and Marques T. is waiting in the wings. With Collins struggling, the Raiders also have a weak running game amassing just over 90 yards per game on the ground. Their rushing defense is just as bad, allowing 188 yards per game to opposing rushers. These are the reasons I like New Orleans in this one. Their problem has definitely been defense which is ranked last in the league and has been torched for 25+ points four times this season. But in this game they are facing a team just as bad as they are, and they are getting points. New Orleans qualifies for a trend involving two teams with poor rushing offenses and poor rushing defenses that favors the underdog. This trend is 28-7 ATS. Bet 110 to win 100 on the Saints +3

2 units on New Orleans +3 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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