img NFL

New Orleans at Atlanta

December 26, 2004
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Arggh! I am frustrated by this one. I would just love Atlanta in this game, big time, if they had Vick playing full throttle. I know the Falcons would be favored in the contest if that were the case and they are now getting 4.5. I just wish he were playing the whole game and we were giving points. But, that's not the case. And, I remember how the Falcons did last year with him on the bench. This game will feature rookie Matt Schaub instead which makes me nervous. But, I still like the Falcons here, as their defense will be intact as well as the fact that they'll be playing one of the worst teams in the league - the New Orleans Saints. The Saints have won two straight but that doesn't impress me. They are still giving up nearly 27 points per game and they simply lose against good teams. Their schedule is very weak and they are 0-4 against winning teams this year. If for some reason Vick sees any significant playing time, and even if he does not, the Falcons could win this one outright. If Super Man (#7) and Crumpler were playing the whole game, I'd be making this a 4-star pick. Instead, we'll go with a two star selection on the money line only as I think it's great value - getting +180 on a winning team vs. a terrible team.

2 units on New Orleans -180 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.11)
Result:
LOSS
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