This pick was released to clients on January 29, 2019 at 4:21PM ET.
img NFL

New England vs. Los Angeles

February 3, 2019
img6:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

In his career, Patriots placekicker Stephen Gostkowski has kicked 401 field goals with just 26 of them coming at more than 49 yards. That's just 6.5%. LA's Greg Zuerlein has kicked 185 field goals with 29 coming from over 49 yards. That's a much higher rate of 15.6S% which gives pause for concern, but in the Super Bowl, place kickers are not used as much. Teams want to score touchdowns. Out of 52 Super Bowls, there have only been 14 games with field goals of 45+ yards (27%). Fair odds on that bet are -270. And, that's based on 45 yards, not 48. In addition, has this changed recently? Maybe with the recent rule changes that favor offense, this percentage has gone up. Actually it's just the opposite. Over the past 14 Super Bowls, only two have seen a field goal made at 48+ yards. Since Super Bowl 41, 11 of 12 Super Bowls have had the longest field goal come in UNDER 48 yards. Take the UNDER on this prop.

1.5 units on Longest Field Goal UNDER 47.5 yards (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 4.36)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
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F
New England Patriots img
0
3
0
10
13
Los Angeles Rams
0
0
3
0
3
consensus consensus
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