New England at New York

Bill Bellichick had a laydown year in 2008 after having a lot of success in these exhibition games. The Pats went 0-4 in '08, and he has returned to form, as it likely ate at him given his competitive nature. The Pats have since gone 7-3, and when Belichick has an agenda, he is hard to go against. Tom Caughlin in his early years won a lot here, but sits at just 5-10 in his last 15. The Giants brought it against their big rival the New York Jets in week one, but having done nothing since, it looks like they have packed it in. Layer on top of that the fact that the Giants are riding a 9-24 ATS mark in the final two weeks of the preseason, and we have a play on the dog here.