This pick was released to clients on July 10, 2012 at 6:33PM ET.
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Las Vegas at Kansas City

December 25, 2004
img5:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Yes, this is a large spread. But I think KC will cover it. They are on quite a roll having gone 3-0 ATS and straight-up over last three, winning by an average score of 43-27. They destroyed a very good defense (Denver) last week and beat these Raiders by 7 in Oakland three weeks ago. The Chiefs are confident right now and I think their momentum will carry them to a blow-out win in this one on Christmas Day. A win will keep their chances of a .500 season alive, something the coach and players desperately want. Kansas City running back Larry Johnson is quickly making a name for himself. Over the past four games, he's rushed for 100+ yards each game and has scored 5 touchdowns. He ran for 151 yards against the Broncos, a team with a one of the best run defenses in the league. The matchup here is overwhelming. The league's #1 offense will have its way against the 3rd worst defense. On the flip side, we all know KC's defense is bad. But, it's primarily their passing defesne that is wanting. Their run defense is respectable (ranked 14th). Kerry Collins isn't good enough to keep the Raiders in this one. The Raiders are losing by an average of 8 points per game this season. On the road, make it 13 (average 18-31 score). Three stars on the Chiefs minus the points.

3 units on Kansas City -8 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS
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