Indianapolis at New England

This should be an interesting matchup as two powerhouse teams led by future Hall of Fame quarterbacks collide in New England. The Colts are winning as usual, but they aren't doing it the way they have in the past. The lack of a running game, and respect for Peyton Manning has changed the offense. The Colts are using the short passing game as a running game, and are keeping drives going a lot longer. Gone are the shootouts from the past and against New England I would expect even more of that. I would venture a guess that if anyone had the opportunity to wager that at least one of the high-powered Colts' first nine games would reach 53 total points scored, you'd have an army lining up to take that bet. The fact is, none of them have! Many think of Indianapolis and think points and over. But, the last 35 times the Colts have faced a total of 47 or more, they have played to a 23-12 UNDER mark. When that number reaches 50 or higher they have gone 10-1 to the UNDER in their last 11. The problem is that the total gets inflated due to perception, and the total most often falls short. The Pats are different against very good teams. The last 30 they have played at home vs. a team with a winning road record has seen them go 21-8-1 to the UNDER. In November games under Bill Belichick, the Pats are 26-16 UNDER. This team under the Hoody is also 30-17 UNDER when facing a team that averages 24+ points per game. In what should be a great game to watch, I'm going UNDER.