Indianapolis at Houston

The Indianapolis Colts will once again be led by Peyton Manning. What does that mean? Lots of wins. He will again lead a talented team back into the playoffs. Here his team is only asked to lay a couple of points. Again, people are expecting more out of the Texans than they are likely to deliver. Indy went 16-3 last year while the Texans, in a supposed break-out year, went 9-7 and were .500 at home. In division games, they were 1-5! Meanwhile, the Colts are 12-2 vs. conference foes thepast two seasons and 7-1 on the road over that span. I like Peyton and the Colts here. I also like the UNDER. In the public’s eyes the Colts have always been an offensive team, but many don't realize how efficient this team is on the defensive side of the ball. The Colts finished a pedestrian No. 19 in yards allowed per game a year ago, but were No. 8 best in points allowed. Houston keeps knocking on the door for a playoff appearance, but last year's best ever 9-7 mark, wasn't good enough. These teams can both move the chains, but week one has proven differently for both. The Colts, even with the great Peyton Manning, have played five straight UNDERs in game one, while the Texans have been 4-1 in their last five openers to the UNDER, and overall are 9-3-1 to the UNDER in their last 13 games played in any week. The Colts high-flying offense has proven to be a slow starter, with an 11-5 September UNDER mark. Indy and the UNDER here.