Houston at Tennessee

Just like the recently departed Rodney Dangerfield, Houston doesn't get any respect. The public has pushed this line up to nearly a touchdown (may be a touchdown by game-time) based on Tennessee's dominating performance on Monday night in Lambeau. But, as I think we all have learned, the Packers are terrible and the Lambeau mystique is officially gone. Further, on Monday Tennesee's back was against the wall with their season on the line and they forced six turnovers. After considering all of this, I am not reading too much into their Monday Night victory. But the betting public is. Did everyone forget that Tennessee was 1-3 and on the ropes prior to Monday night's anomoly? And, who did Tennessee's other lone win come against? The struggling Dolphins. Houston is in the same leauge as Jacksonville and San Diego, both who beat this Titans team. Here we get nearly a touchdown on arguably the better team. Sweet. Houston is 2-3 and nearly beat Minnesota last week. Andre Miller is for real. He's got that Randy Moss-type ability to pick the ball out of the air no matter where it is thrown or who is covering him. Even at this point in his rookie season, no one can cover him. You heard it here first - this guy will be a mega super-star in the NFL. He's one of the reasons the Texans have the 5th best offense in the league. I like the matchup here between Houston's 7th-ranked offense overall vs. Tennessee's 20th ranked defense (are we really geting 6.5 points here?). Tennessee's passing defense is horrendous. They are allowing opposing quarterbacks nearly 66% completion percentage and over six yards per pass attempt. That stat has gotten worse and is over 7 yards per attempt the last two games. Teams that allow a very high completion percentage and over 7 yards per pass attempt for consecutive games fail to cover the spread two thirds of the time. Unlike years past, Houston believes. And I do too. Arguably the wrong team is favored here. Bet 220 to win 200 on Houston +6.5 and 150 to win 375 on Houston straight-up.