Houston at Jacksonville

This is a critical game here with both of these teams entering at 4-4. The loser will become pretender and the winner becomes contender. Give Jacksonville credit for their big win vs. Indy five weeks ago. But, the rest of the wins show little. They are holding playoff hopes on one big game and I'm not sure if the Jags have really turned the corner. Outside of that win over the Colts, the Jags have beaten Denver, Buffalo and Dallas - teams with a combined record of 3-21! Houston has already beat Indy, having played them twice. They have also faced San Diego, Kansas City as well as the Giants, so their schedule has been way above most. I ask you, which is the better team? To me it is clearly Houston. Both defenses are pourous, but offense clearly goes to the Texans who, despite a very tough schedule, rank in at #6 in offense. They have more weapons to take advantage of the weak Jacksonville defense and that will be the difference here. Jacksonville is 5-15 ATS at home over the past three seasons including 1-10 ATS as a favorite! They are also just 2-10 ATS over that span following a win. Houston gets this one.