Detroit at Minnesota

The Detroit Lions were supposed to be better this year. Instead, they are again losing games. While they are 0-2 straight up, they have covered the number twice. But, things just never seem to change for this team, especially on the road. They have now dropped their last 21 games on the road, and the defense takes center stage as the culprit. The Lions defense allowed 33.7 points per game on the road a year ago, so this should be the breakout week for the Vikings. Minnesota has scored just 19 points in two games but their average simply isn't going to stay there. And, getting the Lions at home is the recipe for a change. If Minnesota gets their expected 30+ here, it doesn't leave much scoring to be done by the Lions to push this one over the total. The Vikings managed a minimum of 27 points per game at home a year ago, and following an ATS loss the OVER has cashed in at 24-10-2 in their last 36. The Lions are 17-7 to the OVER when posted as a dog of 10.5 or more in their last 24. In their last ten games when allowing 28+ points, the Lions have gone OVER nine times. Under Brad Childress, this Vikings team is 20-10 OVER after an ATS loss and 10-2 OVER following a back-to-back ATS losses. This one goes OVER the total.