This is a low NFL total between a pair of suspect defenses: Buffalo is #20 in the NFL in points allowed, the Lions are #19. Detroit has a capable QB in Matthew Stafford (18 TDs, 11 INTs) and they've looked for offensive balance under the new coaching staff. The Lions split backfield work between LeGarrette Blount, Zach Zenner and Theo Riddick during Sunday's win over the Cardinals, rushing for 122 yards. Detroit is 36-15-3 OVER the total after allowing fewer than 15 points in their previous game, plus 33-18 OVER away in non-conference tilts. They face an improving Buffalo offense that has scored 41, 24, 17 and 23 points the last four games, part of a 4-1 run OVER the total. The Bills are on a 20-7 run OVER the total at home, as well as 20-7 OVER on field-turf. Take the OVER.
This pick was released to clients on December 15, 2023 at 2:04PM ET.
NFL
Detroit at Buffalo
December 16, 2018
1:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total OVER 39.5 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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