It seems that the Baltimore coaching staff doesn't yet fully trust Joe Flacco. The Ravens let a 10-point lead slip away in the fourth quarter at New England, as the offense became ultra conservative. The Ravens certainly aren't lighting-up the scoreboard, scoring just 18.7 points per game. That doesn't leave a lot of wiggle room when asked to cover a two-TD number. Conservative play opens the door with a big number to topple as a backdoor cover possibility. Teams off a loss that are then favored by double digits in their next game are historically bad bets. These teams have gone 33-61 ATS over the last eight years. I like the Bills to cover this very large number. I also like the OVER in this game. The Bills allowed 30+ in their last game, and the last four times that has happened they have played OVER in their next game. They have also played five of their last six as a dog of +10.5 or more to the OVER as well. The Ravens have played 12-4-2 to the OVER in their last 18 games after allowing 250+ passing yards in their previous game. I’m on Buffalo to cover and the total to finish OVER.
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING
Get my free NFL picks and predictions.
Join 413,966 Subscribers!