This is a division rivalry game that's always a dogfight, with the underdog on a 5-1-1 ATS run. Baltimore has the better record and a far better defense, fifth in the NFL in points allowed (17 points per game), second against the pass. The Ravens offense is lighting up the red zone because of Joe Flacco and the new weapons they brought in. Baltimore became the first team in NFL history to score on their first 12 red-zone trips. Flacco is 11-of-14 with five touchdown passes inside the 20, while seven players have scored red-zone touchdowns for the Ravens in the first three games. The Ravens are 12-4 ATS in AFC North division play. They match up well with a Pittsburgh defense that is awful, #29 in total yards allowed, #28 in points (30 ppg) and against the pass. The overvalued Steelers are on a 2-8 spread run, as well as 0-6 ATS at home and 0-7 ATS following a straight up win. And the Ravens are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. Play Baltimore.
This pick was released to clients on September 29, 2023 at 11:34AM ET.
NFL
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
September 30, 2018
8:20 PM Eastern
1 unit on Baltimore +3 (+100) (risk 1 to return 2)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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