By Week 4 of the NFL season, a lot of team tendencies have begun to take shape. If this is a season where a young quarterback is going to blossom, it's likely noticeable now.
In addition, if a team's defense is having trouble stopping the other team from scoring, you'll be able to look at the stats and see the reasons for it, such as poor run defense or unable to stop opponents on third down. It's a time when the elite head coaches have figured out what tweaks need to be made and begin implementing them to make the units even better.
It's also when surprise teams catch the attention of oddsmakers and the NFL betting public. Teams that have covered all three games, especially if they've won all three, will garner national attention and will no longer be under the radar which will be reflected in the Week 4 odds. This is something to keep your eye on when making NFL spread picks.
Check out last week's NFL week 3 picks
Why Use Free NFL Week 4 Betting Picks
The average bettor is going to back those surprise teams, but it's more important to keep tabs on where the big money is going by the wise guys. This would be the second group of under-the-radar teams, ones that may be 1-2 but have the talent and experience to put it together quickly.
Getting a list of free selections gives you early insight into what games the pros are focused on and why. Many won't be on teams that the national media is raving out. As you analyze games to find wagering edges, having Free NFL Week 4 picks is a valuable asset alongside all your data and odds. That second tier of teams about to turn a corner will put you a few weeks ahead of the TV talking heads - and the oddsmakers.
Need help with your NFL picks for week 4? Give my week 4 NFL computer picks a try!
Betting Value in Free NFL Week 4 Betting Picks
One season, the Brady/Belichick Patriots were a 6-point underdog in Week 4 to Cincinnati. Think about that for a moment. The greatest QB/head coach duo in history were 6-point underdogs...at the longtime bungling Bengals no less! Why?
The Bengals weren't bad that season, a talented group that had started 3-0 SU/ATS after an impressive 28-20 win at Pittsburgh. Naturally, they were the talk of the NFL, no longer under the radar. The Patriots, meanwhile, were off to a 2-1 start but had been shut down by Denver the previous week, 17-7. The average Joe might have been dazzled by the undefeated Bengals, but the Vegas Wise Guys were all over the underdog and cashed easily in a 38-13 New England rout.
By Week 4, the oddsmakers have to incorporate records and play over the first three weeks to assess numbers. But that can overvalue some teams and undervalue others. Just because we're a month into the new season doesn't mean the oddsmakers are making perfect numbers.
Wunderdog Free NFL Week 4 Betting Picks
Each selection I release is analyzed from multiple handicapping angles, including stats, situations, matchups, and line value. I can also assess which side the general NFL betting public is on and which line is being moved by the Vegas big-pocketed insiders. Whether it's sides, totals, NFL moneylines, or parlays, I'm in it to win it. And best of all, you can be a part of my longtime expertise at beating the books.
Free NFL Week 4 Betting Picks vs. Premium Picks
Free NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Pros:
- Will incrementally help you develop your sports wagering handicapping skills
- You'll better understand early line movement as well as late game day movement right up until kickoff
- No money lost from your pocket to acquire free information - and information is the key to sports betting success
Free NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Cons:
- Having too many releases, especially ones that conflict with the same game, can confuse novice bettors
- Not all websites roll out consistent winning plays or past results
- Ones that lack analysis give you nothing to learn from forcing you to go do a lot of homework, which may not be what you want to do
Premium Picks Pros:
- Top plays should also be accompanied by money management advice on how much to wager and why
- These are the best releases and will have multiple matchup angles and reasons behind them
- The professional bettor is accumulating all the key info while sifting through it
Premium Picks Cons:
- You might not have access to the handicapper's track record costing you the picks and lost money on losing plays
- Top picks that don't come with well-thought-out analysis and explanations are questionable.
- You could drown by too many picks to wager on and too small a betting bankroll
How To Win With Free NFL Week 4 Betting Picks
The first two steps for winning on NFL Sunday are gathering your own information on games while accruing selections from established experts who put the time in. Building up info and picks provides the building blocks for getting armed against the oddsmakers. It's a serious game: they're trying to get a cut of your money, while you're trying to get a cut of theirs.
Free NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Betting Strategy
Under the Radar Teams
Through the first three weeks, several teams that were supposed to be bad are off to good starts. However, Week 4 offers the same concept but with teams few are focused on. Talented offenses that have sputtered, sitting at 1-2 or 2-1, can be ready to click with three games under their belt. In addition, divisional games mean more to coaches as season-ending tie-breakers factor in to playoff positioning.
A team sitting at 1-2 but has its first divisional game appearing in Week 4 has double the incentive to play well to not only improve their record but to go 1-0 in their division. Scheduling and incentive can combine for these under-the-radar teams for significant wagering value.
Embarrassed Teams
By Week 4, most NFL teams have suffered an embarrassing loss, a blowout defeat, or a game they expected to win but lost despite being a favorite. Coming home after an embarrassing road loss, or the team's first loss of the season can provide enormous incentive and bounce-back wagering value for the embarrassed squad.
Coachess
There are only a handful of elite NFL head coaches. Then there's a second-level of very good, competent ones...and a whole lot of mediocre ones. The decisions a coach makes in a game - such as clock management, when to go for it on fourth down, and identifying mismatches - can mean 3-to-6 points.
There are plenty of Week 4 betting opportunities where an excellent head coach is matched against a below-average coach. A few extra points by the elite coach can make a big difference in winning the game, both straight up and against the number.
Free NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Subscription
All my releases have been examined thoroughly for the right wagering value. Acquiring these NFL spread picks to your own list each week adds multiple layers of insight and expertise needed to improve your daily handicapping.
Signing up for my free picks can be done on a subscription basis right to your phone or home computer. Because receiving plays from an established/documented pro helps build your betting confidence - and your bankroll.
Get free premium picks daily.