Orlando at Miami

Orlando has won and covered the last four meetings, including 116-109 in October. Miami comes off a 109-94 loss to New Orleans on Saturday when the defense allowed the Pelicans a .534 shooting percentage and 15-of-25 from three-point range. Tyler Johnson led the Heat with 20 points, but he combined with Goran Dragic and Josh Richardson to shoot just 19-of-46 from the field. The Magic is desperate for a win and matches up well statistically on offense with both teams shooting nearly 46.0 percent and Orlando averages 105.4 points compared to 100.1 for the Heat. Elfrid Payton exploded for 30 points against Washington on Saturday. Hassan Whiteside (knee) and Dion Waiters (knee) are questionable for Miami. The Heat is just 4-16-2 ATS its last 22 home games and laying too many points in this one. Play the Magic.