This pick was released to clients on April 28, 2024 at 12:01PM ET.
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Milwaukee at Boston

April 28, 2018
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

It's Game 7, which means both teams will go all out on defense with their seasons on the line. Milwaukee has a losing road record and has lost all three games in Boston during this series. Milwaukee hasn't helped its cause by going 83-for-121 from the free throw line in this series. They forced a Game 7 despite going 13-of-21 from the line (61.9%) the last game. Milwaukee is on a 6-15 spread run against the Eastern Conference, 17-33-2 ATS playing on one day of rest, plus 9-21 ATS against a team with a winning record. The last two games have sailed UNDER the total with outstanding defense, including both first halves. Milwaukee scored 36 total first half points the last time they were in Boston for Game 5. Boston is outstanding defensively, finishing third in the NBA in points allowed during the regular season, second in field goal shooting defense and No. 1 at defending the three-pointer. The Celtics are 10-4 ATS playing on one day of rest, 9-4 ATS versus winning teams, and a great bounce-back team at 9-2 ATS after a defeat. They held the Bucks to 36.8 percent shooting and 87 points in Game 5 on this court and defensive guard Marcus Smart has returned from a thumb injury. The home team is on a 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS run between these squads, with the Bucks 2-7 ATS at Boston. Look for a fierce defensive game all the way and back home court. Play Boston, the first half UNDER and the full game UNDER.

1 unit on Boston -4.5 (-109) (risk 1 to return 1.92)
Result:
WIN
2 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 98 -115 (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 196 -102 (risk 1 to return 1.98)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Milwaukee Bucks
17
25
25
29
96
Boston Celtics img
30
20
31
31
112
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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