This pick was released to clients on April 26, 2024 at 10:03AM ET.
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Boston at Milwaukee

April 26, 2018
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Milwaukee is home for Game 6 and facing elimination, so look for the Bucks to go all-out on defense from the opening tip with their season on the line. They face a Boston team that is outstanding defensively, finishing third in the NBA in points allowed during the regular season, second in field goal shooting defense and No. 1 at defending the three-pointer. The Celtics took a 3-2 series lead with a 92-87 win Tuesday night, holding Milwaukee to 36.8 percent shooting. Guard Marcus Smart, who was out since March 11 with a thumb injury, added his intense defense to the cause. They held Milwaukee to 37 first half points. The Celtics are on a 36-16 spread run on the road, including 41-18-2 ATS away against a team with a winning home record. Milwaukee hasn't helped its cause by going 68-for-100 from the free throw line in this series. The Bucks are home but the Celtics match up well with their athleticism and defense. Milwaukee is on a 15-32-4 spread run at home, 16-33-2 ATS playing on one day of rest, plus 8-21 ATS against a team with a winning record. The Celtics are also 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Milwaukee, so back the visitors along with a defensive first half. Play both Boston and the first half UNDER.

1 unit on Boston +4.5 (-108) (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 97.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Boston Celtics
24
15
26
21
86
Milwaukee Bucks img
22
26
26
23
97
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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