The longer a series goes the more intense defense becomes. That's because players get to know more about the tendencies of who they are guarding, plus the longer a series goes the more important the contest and even the quarters become with the season on the line. Cleveland has been able to win the rebounding battle in the series, taking a 47-37 edge in Game 3. They will lean on that and are at home again, needing a win to keep their season alive, so expect to see all-out defense in the first half. The Warriors play great defense everywhere, ranked third in the league during the regular season in field goal shooting allowed (.447) and #10 in three-point defense. Golden State is 36-25 UNDER the First Half Total against winning teams this season, plus 14-6 UNDER the First Half Total in all playoff games this postseason. In the playoffs, the Warriors have fared first in defensive rating (100.9), defensive field-goal percentage (42.7) and perimeter defense (31.4). The Warriors are also 27-17 UNDER the First Half Total when playing six or fewer games in 14 days. The wagering value is on the First Half of Game 4 to go UNDER the total.
So who wins the game? Golden State -- again. The Cavaliers blew Game 1, then suffered an emotional let-down the next game, losing 122-103. They're in a similar boat, after blowing a 13-point lead in a must-win Game 3 at home before the Warriors came back and broke their hearts again. Now down 0-3, the series is over for Cleveland as Golden State is the far better team. The Warriors won Game 3 on the road despite Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson combining to shoot 7-of-27, including 3-of-15 from three-point land. Think they'll be that bad this game? Golden State has shot 51.1%, 57.3% and 51.9% in the three games and is 9-1 straight-up against the Cavs the last 10 meetings, including 5-0 straight-up this season. Parlay Golden State on the moneyline and First Half of Game 4 to go UNDER the total.
Combine the Golden State at Cleveland 1st ½ UNDER 109.5 (-105) and the Warriors (-190) into a 2-team parlay at +198 odds.
This pick was released to clients on June 08, 2022 at 12:37PM ET.
NBA
Golden State at Cleveland (NBA) First-Half UNDER + Golden State (NBA-507) MONEYLINE
June 8, 2018
9:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on 2 Team Parlay: (+208) (risk 1 to return 3.08)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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