Free Thursday NBA Picks

NBA fans and bettors love Thursday nights as there are always games to wager on along with national TV battles to tune into. Much of the betting action will go to the TV games that often feature marquee matchups.  That will mean some line movement is likely but pay less attention to it as it's usually the average bettor throwing $20 on it or $10 on a three-team parlay. However, you may see movement of 2 of 3 points on the side or a total of some of the games involving losing or bad teams.  There may be fewer bets being placed on them, but if a few big players are on one it, the sides or total could move a few points. When big players are moving a line, those are games to take a second and third look at.  

Why Use Thursday Free NBA Picks

Observing line movement is just one of many ways to wager. Matchups on the court can also favor one team. A key stat like assist-to-turnover ratio can be a difference-maker, or a particularly coaching staff could have another team's number.  Advantages are found by accumulating and reading information and then making an assessment on whether the betting line is accurate or off by a few points. Examining Thursday free NBA picks is one of several ways to line up daily information and plays all in an effort to beat the oddsmakers on a regular basis.  While sports betting may sound like a losing proposition over the long haul, it's not. It's very possible - and profitable.  

Betting Value in Thursday Free NBA Picks

 Another way to find edges with the odds is with proposition bets. Prop bets are available on team totals and how an individual player is going to perform, such as Over/Under their points, assists, or rebound total. This is available on Thursday national TV broadcasts which try and line up star players and strong teams to attract more viewers.  If both teams have coaches that prefer a fast-break, uptempo style, it can present prop opportunities OVER their normal scoring averages. In one recent Thursday night national TV game, the 76ers beat Milwaukee in a high-scoring showdown, 123-120.   Giannis Antetokounmpo (32 points) went Over his season scoring average, as did Joel Embiid (42 points, 14 rebounds). Star players get up for these games knowing the whole country is watching, plus it's a matchup of two of the best teams in the conference.  And there was less of a chance that the coaching staff would limit the minutes of star players, which they might do if it was against one of the worst teams in the NBA.  

Wunderdog Thursday Free NBA Picks

As a successful winning sports bettor for over 20 years, I've developed the expertise to identify and pounce on soft odds and the right situational handicapping spots. My selections contain in-depth analysis along with the proper money management investment strategy necessary to accrue a profit long term.  Increasing your betting bankroll is not a straight line. There are peaks, valleys, and hot stretches. It's essential to see why a line is worth backing to gain the confidence needed to win regularly.  

Free Thursday Free NBA Picks vs. Premium Picks

Thursday Free NBA Picks Pros:

• Explanations on the mechanics of sports handicapping
• Streamlining betting information at no cost
• Enlarges the layers of your sports handicapping expertise

Thursday Free NBA Picks Cons:

• Televised NBA game line movement can be confusing
• Some self-professed handicapping pros aren't experts at all
• Services that overuse hype monikers such as "TV Game of the Year" and "Thursday's Guaranteed Blowout".

Premium Thursday NBA Picks Pros:

• Multiple angles and reasons for a pick
• Premium picks can contain limited data that isn't within easy reach of the public
• Proposition wagers are abundant providing more betting options and winning releases

Premium Thursday NBA Picks Cons:

• Too many favorites released...or worse: too many moneyline favorites given out
• Picks from an undocumented handicapper can strain your mind and betting bankroll
• Too little information or none presented doesn't help your development or confidence in the capper

How To Win With Thursday Free NBA Picks

There are basic rules that need to be adhered to if you want to win at sports betting. In addition to the basics such as stats, matchups, home/road breakdown, and line value, there are subtleties that need to be mastered and enacted. These include situational handicapping and line movement.   If you want to increase your betting bankroll, it's all about putting in the effort to exploit the winning advantages against the odds. Being prepared and informed with the assistance of an established expert will help you to win more as you learn the craft of handicapping.  

Thursday Free NBA Picks Betting Strategy

Reverse Line Movement

Betting lines move all the time. Sometimes it means very little, other times it can tell a bettor a lot about the game and who is backing it. Looking inside line movement can be broken down into two categories: a lot of small bets and a few BIG wagers.  If there are a lot of small bets on one team the oddsmakers are forced to adjust the line to the other team hoping to entice money to better balance the action. But just a few big bets by Wise Guys will move the line quickly. And it's important to pay who those sharps are on seeing as it's coming from professionals who pounce on a soft number.  You can recognize who the big players are on by reverse line movement. For instance, if 75% of the overall bets are on the Celtics at minus-7 but the line moves to minus-5.5, that means a few big players are backing the underdog. And those big players are better or know more than the average bettor.  

Proposition bets.

Proposition bets are available on team totals and how an individual player is going to perform, such as Over/Under their points, assists, or rebounding total. If a center is averaging 7 rebounds a game for the season but is playing a weak rebounding squad of a team with a small frontcourt, that player could be set for an above-average rebounding night.   If a star player averages 24 points per game but happens to be facing the best defensive team in the league, it could be a spot for a rough offensive night, hence a wager Under his point total. And with Thursday night NBA TV games, there can be more soft prop numbers available than sides or total.  

Three Games in Four Nights

This is part of situational handicapping. A strong team facing one with a losing record might be a road favorite. However, examine the schedule. What if that good road team is playing its fifth consecutive game on the road? Do you think they will be in top mental and physical form after playing all those road games in a row?   A similar thing applies with NBA teams playing their third game in four nights, a taxing stretch. That's a tough grind, especially if the majority of those games were away from home. NBA teams play anywhere from 12 to 15 back-to-backs spots in a season, so it's essential to keep this in mind when handicapping. Examine how many minutes the starters played last night along with any injury notes.  

Thursday Free NBA Picks Subscription

My job encompasses keeping up on what's going on with every team every day, in addition to matchups and situational spots. I digest all the stats and information and then compare my power ratings and lines to the actual betting odds. The examination is complete only when I'm finished looking at all the sides, totals, and props on the betting board.   You can get on board to see my selections and insight by signing up for my Thursday Free NBA Picks on a subscription service. Everyone wants to win, but the only way to beat the sportsbooks is to be fully prepared. All that information is valuable to you in the quest to become a serious bettor - and at no cost!