Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates are going to finish in the basement of the NL Central. Milwaukee hs clinched the NL Central and have plenty of time to rest players, and set their rotation for the playoffs. Milwaukee is still a good team with resting players, and they have not conceded the rest of their games on the schedule. They have won two straight, including the series opener in Pittsburgh by a 7-2 score. While neither team has any real reason to go hard, the Brewers seem to be applying themselves well. The Brewers are 19-12 with Freddy Peralta on the mound, including 4-1 in his last five starts. In Peralta's past nine starts, opponents scored four or fewer runs eight times. Make the play on Milwaukee.

First-place Milwaukee has a versatile offense that is fifth in runs, fifth in on-base percentage, 13th in slugging, and third in steals. The defense is third in fielding percentage and the relief staff is second in ERA (3.20). Tobias Myers (3.05 ERA) gets the start and has had a strong campaign. He's dominated the Pirates with a 0.69 ERA against them in 13 innings, including a 9-0 win when he last faced them in July. The Brewers are 8-2 when Myers starts after a loss. Last place Pittsburgh's offense is 23rd in runs, 25th in on-base percentage, 28th in slugging, and 16th in steals. They're on a 3-7 slide. The team is 7-12 in the last 19 starts made by Bailey Falter (4.15 ERA) and the bullpen is 26th in ERA (4.55) plus 28th in WHIP. Play Milwaukee. 

Pittsburgh looks to bounce back from Wednesday's loss with rookie sensation Paul Skenes on the mound and he is 5-0 with a 2.12 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP. Skenes has allowed only five runs his past five starts, including two runs on four hits in seven innings against the New York Mets on Friday. Four of his past five outings have stayed UNDER and the Pirates are 8-0 UNDER in the third game of a series. Pittsburgh has gone UNDER five in a row against pitchers with a 1.30 or greater WHIP. Aaron Civale made his first appearance with Milwaukee after being acquired from Tampa Bay and allowed four runs in five innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday. The Brewers have lost four of five following a win. Take the Pirates and the UNDER.

Tobias Myers is scheduled to start for Milwaukee and he is 5-2 with a 1.19 WHIP and the Brewers have won five in a row when he starts following a team loss. The Brewers have won five of six after allowing at least five runs their previous game. Pittsburgh is 0-6 in Martin Perez's past six outings against teams with winning records and 0-4 his past four starts after the Pirates scored five or more runs their previous game. Pittsburgh has lost six of Perez's past seven starts overall. The Pirates' offense has been feast or famine lately as they have scored exactly two runs in three of their past six games while averaging 11.3 the other games. They have allowed 2.8 runs in six games. Despite Tuesday's win the Pirates have a terrible history at Milwaukee winning just 12 of the past 42 meetings. Take the Brewers and the UNDER.