Top pick: #2 (NATIVITY PREP) - New Mexico shipper is consistent, races today at a comfortable price and distance, and is in a very good barn (Jon Arnett) 25-7-1-3 at this meet. Races off a 2 1/2 month break and he's the horse to beat.
2nd pick: #6 (Aztec King) - Races for the first time on this surface and comes here from Oaklawn where he tired in all his starts. Grey gelding has a good local drill and draws outside of the other speed. Win threat.
3rd pick: #3 (Silverbdancing) - In shape and an obvious threat, he races off a negative barn switch via a claim and this veteran grey gelding loves this surface (8-3-3-1). He could win this if he holds his form.