San Francisco has the second-worst relief staff in all of baseball (5.51 ERA). They're 3,000 miles from home playing their third road game of a 10-game trek. They've lost the first two at Fenway, 4-0 and 6-2. Starter Kyle Harrison (4.09 ERA) has a 4.76 ERA on the road this season with the home teams hitting .299 off him. The San Francisco offense is 22nd in runs scored, 20th in on-base percentage, and 26th in steals. The Giants are 31-40 in interleague action and 62-75 versus righty starters. Boston is on an 8-3 run and plays its seventh straight at home. The offense is 11th in runs scored and eighth in on-base percentage. Josh Winckowski (3.50 ERA) will start and the Boston bullpen is eighth in ERA (3.36) and 10th in WHIP. The Red Sox are 31-17 after four or more straight home games, and with the wagering value on the home team to win the game or lose by one run, I'm going Max Play with Boston on the runline.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 67% of the public money was on Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Boston would win by a score of 5.1 to 4.9 with Boston winning on the moneyline, San Francisco winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
San Francisco at Boston
LOSS
Final Score
MLB Premium Pick Results
Here’s how my premium picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 76% of the public money was on Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline. And, 53% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Boston would win by a score of 8.2 to 4.4 with Boston winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 58% of the public money was on San Francisco Giants to win on the moneyline. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that San Francisco would win by a score of 6.0 to 5.1 with San Francisco winning on the moneyline, Boston winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 53% of the public money was on Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Boston would win by a score of 6.6 to 5.2 with Boston winning on the moneyline, San Francisco winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
Boston at San Francisco
WIN
San Francisco comes off a 3-2 win on Saturday when J.D. Davis hit a walk-off homer on the first pitch by Kenley Janson and the Giants stayed within 3 1/2 games of first place in the NL West. It snapped a five-game win streak by Boston, who will start Brennan Bernardino in what is likely a bullpen game for the Red Sox. The Giants will go with Scott Alexander and he also is expected to go just a couple innings before the relievers take over for San Francisco. The Giants' bullpen is #2 in the majors with 39 saves and tied for first with a 1.21 WHIP. The Red Sox are just one game over .500 on the road and they have been streaky all season. San Francisco has won three of four following a six-game losing streak. Take the Giants on the runline.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 55% of the public money was on Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline. And, 50% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Boston would win by a score of 5.8 to 3.6 with Boston winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.